منابع مشابه
Understanding the Brandenburger-Keisler Paradox
Adam Brandenburger and H. Jerome Keisler have recently discovered a two person Russell-style paradox. They show that the following configurations of beliefs is impossible: Ann believes that Bob assumes that Ann believes that Bob’s assumption is wrong. In [7] a modal logic interpretation of this paradox is proposed. The idea is to introduce two modal operators intended to represent the agents’ b...
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Simpson’s paradox is often presented as a compelling demonstration of why we need statistics education in our schools. It is a reminder of how easy it is to fall into a web of paradoxical conclusions when relying solely on intuition, unaided by rigorous statistical methods. In recent years, ironically, the paradox assumed an added dimension when educators began using it to demonstrate the limit...
متن کاملComment: Understanding Simpson’s Paradox
I thank the editor, Ronald Christensen, for the opportunity to discuss this important topic and to comment on the article by Armistead. Simpson’s paradox is often presented as a compelling demonstration of why we need statistics education in our schools. It is a reminder of how easy it is to fall into a web of paradoxical conclusions when relying solely on intuition, unaided by rigorous statist...
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Studying the organization of work has become an important element in the design of systems and artefacts for work settings. However, although studies of work have had an in#uence on design, there is still some concern about the nature of the relationship between the study of work and design. Concern has been variously expressed in terms of gaps between social science and systems engineering, fo...
متن کاملUnderstanding the Brandenburger-Keisler Belief Paradox
In their textbook, Osborne and Rubinstein describe game theory as “a bag of analytical tools designed to help us understand the phenomena that we observe when decision-makers interact” ([8] page 1). They go on to say that one of the basic assumptions of game theory is that when agents make decisions, they take into account “their knowledge or expectations of other decision-makers’ behavior (the...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Prediction Markets
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1750-676X,1750-6751
DOI: 10.5750/jpm.v3i3.466